First, that is a long list, meaning that despite what the media says, Trump has a large number of ways he can reach re-election. Outlets with right-leaning audiences had fewer stories in which COVID-19 was a major focus (meaning it was a part of half or more of the story): 29%, versus 45% of the left-leaning audience outlets and 44% in the mixed audience group. Very few members of Gen Z (born 1997 and later) were eligible to vote in the 2016 electorate, and they made up just 1% of all voters that year. Biden has not said he is willing to debate Trump that voters recall New polls suggest Donald Trump and President Joe Biden are neck-and-neck as Republicans and Democrats look ahead to 2024. And among the outlets with right-leaning audiences, immigration was the most covered topic area. For more details, see the methodology. Outlets with left-leaning or mixed audiences, on the other hand, gave greatest attention to the economy and to health care, each of which was the focus of 18% or more of stories for both media groups, while immigration amounted to 8% and 10% for each. Trump runs his mouth too much (but he gets the job done) Other Democrats are younger and nimbler, but Biden has been a better president than many expected - and he could be Donald Trump's nemesis again Fri 14 Apr 2023 07.00 EDT Last modified on Fri . Biden and/or members of his administration were by far most likely to be cited, appearing in 82% of all stories studied including 70% of stories in outlets with right-leaning audiences. Yet parallels exist. For this analysis, we surveyed U.S. adults online and verified their turnout in the three general elections using commercial voter files that aggregate official state turnout records. This study looks at coverage of the Biden administration in two different ways: 1) studying the content published by different news organizations, and 2) asking Americans about their opinions on coverage of the administration. Numbers, Facts and Trends Shaping Your World, highest-turnout midterm election in decades, emerged in the 2004 presidential election, Current Population Survey Voting and Registration Supplement, Demographic profiles of Trump and Biden voters, Voting methods in the 2020 presidential election, A voter data resource: Detailed demographic tables about verified voters in 2016, 2018, What the 2020 electorate looks like by party, race and ethnicity, age, education and religion, Interactive map: The changing racial and ethnic makeup of the U.S. electorate, In Changing U.S. Electorate, Race and Education Remain Stark Dividing Lines, In a Growing Share of U.S. Marriages, Husbands and Wives Earn About the Same, Gun deaths among U.S. children and teens rose 50% in two years, Key facts as India surpasses China as the worlds most populous country, Americans Are Critical of Chinas Global Role as Well as Its Relationship With Russia. In 2020, 46% of Biden voters had at least a college degree; 53% did not have a degree. In 2020, 31% of Trump voters had at least a four-year college degree similar to the share of Trump voters who had a college degree in 2016. Outlets with right-leaning audiences presented a primarily negative view of the new Biden administration. Trump looks too eager to argue and fight, not work out solutions with Democrats It conducts public opinion polling, demographic research, media content analysis and other empirical social science research. Biden stopped applying the aggressive policy to unaccompanied kids but has continued to expel individuals and families. It is a subsidiary of The Pew Charitable Trusts. U.S.-Russia relations was a leading topic in 2017, but not in 2021, while the economy was the leading 2021 topic but not among the top five in 2017. The comments by the voters, however, are direct evidence of the qualities I want to examine in my SWOT analysis. Also, by significant margins, those in the right-only group are likeliest to say climate policy (64%) and the COVID-19 pandemic (57%) are getting too much attention. The 2020 election featured continuity in the voting patterns of major demographic and political groups in the population, but there were a few important shifts. Source types: The study also measured 13 different types of sources that might be cited in a story: This measure identifies the presence of atypeof source in any given article, not the total number of individual sources. Black voters were more likely than White or Hispanic voters to say they cast their ballot in person before Election Day (42% of Black voters, vs. 27% of Hispanic voters and 25% of White voters). President Joe Biden speaks with border protection police on the Bridge of the Americas border crossing between Mexico and the US in Texas this January. Members of Pew Research Centers nationally representative American Trends Panel were matched to public voting records from three national commercial voter files in an attempt to find a record for voting in the 2020 election. It looks at how new voters and voters who turned out in one or both previous elections voted in the 2020 presidential election and offers a detailed portrait of the demographic composition and vote choices of the 2020 electorate. Bidens been in hiding Trump handled the death of George Floyd poorly in most voters minds Recently, the Biden administration announced it would step up expedited removal, despite having previously rescinded Trumps own sweeping expansion of these fast-tracked deportations. The global water storage systems market is likely to reach value of USD 24.36 Billion by 2027, according to a current analysis by Emergen Research. Gen Z is defined here as voters born between 1997 and 2002, Millennials were born between 1981 and 1996, Gen Xers were born between 1965 and 1980, Baby Boomers were born between 1946 and 1964, and members of the Silent Generation were born between 1928 and 1945. White evangelical Protestants, in particular, remained a critical part of the Republican voting coalition, making up 34% of Trumps voters but just 6% of Bidens. And with Biden now shifting to the center and immigration looming as a liability issue in the 2024 presidential election for Democrats most of whom get sucked into the xenophobic right-wing narrative without figuring out how to defend the benefits of the American melting pot progressives, advocates and millions of migrants should brace for a tough foreseeable future. And smaller shares of voters said they either voted in person on Election Day (27%) or in person before Election Day (27%). Voters in the swing states have said that if protests continue right up to the election, that hurts Trumps chances of re-election Voters think Biden has the experience to do the job. Comparably smaller shares of Black (20%) and Hispanic voters (18%) said the same. One of the most pivotal groups in the 2016 election was White voters without a four-year college degree, who were critical to Trumps electoral college victory that year (nationally, he won them by a wide 36-point margin in 2016, 64% to 28%). Those policy changes have been accompanied by the creation of limited legal pathways, but their eligibility requirements demand a level of financial resources and international connections that the western hemispheres most vulnerable, forcibly displaced people likely cannot produce. Overall, about one-in-five U.S. adults (22%) said that at the time of the survey they had been following news about Biden very closely, with another 44% following it fairly closely. This is important because The impeachment put a bad taste in the mouth of voters who now apply that to new conditions Two of the questions were correctly answered by large majorities of Americans: a question about the proposed increased national minimum wage (81% correctly answered $15 an hour) and a question about the number of doses required for the COVID-19 vaccines approved in the U.S. (69% correctly answered that the number of doses required varies depending on the vaccine).4. The survey panel also makes it possible to examine change in turnout and vote preference over time among many of the same individuals. Initially, Biden delivered, with a flurry of executive actions and other first steps to undo Trumps crackdown. Joe Biden is leading President Donald Trump by double-digits among registered voters, according to a new poll by The New York Times and Siena College. Bidens a puppet and wont be the man in charge hes very scripted and controlled by others One area where there is little difference across the three media groups is whether the journalist framed the story around Bidens leadership and character or his ideology and agenda. It also provides a comparison with findings from our previous studies of the 2016 and 2018 electorates. In 2020, they were 8% of the total, though their lower rate of turnout compared with older age cohorts is reflected in the fact that they were 15% of eligible nonvoters. Younger adults continue to make up a larger share of Democratic voters compared with Republican voters. 2. Today's Action Market Data Stocks Quick Takes Personal Finance Your Money Newsletter . While he still won this group by a little more than two-to one (66% to Bidens 31%), that 35 percentage point gap is notably smaller than the 50-point gap in the 2016 election, when 73% of White men without a college degree supported Trump, compared with 23% who supported Clinton. Everyone who completed the survey is a member of the Centers American Trends Panel (ATP), an online survey panel that is recruited through national, random sampling of residential addresses. Impeaching the President was a mistake by Democrats it looked like a cheap political move which took away attention from important issues, especially in light of the coronavirus coming in from China. Who's ahead in all? Biden responded by attacking Trump for not having a clear health-care plan, despite promising that he would unveil it. Trump mention: Each story was analyzed for whether former President Donald Trump was mentioned. But attention varied across the media groups, with Americans who turn only to outlets with left-leaning audiences least likely to be following news about the Biden administration very closely (16%) and their counterparts on the right almost twice as likely to do so (30%). On April 13, 2021, after the survey, the CDC recommended. Do not just show up at the border, Biden warned potential migrants. Biden isnt a better option why make a different choice if its not a better choice? Trump stands out, while Bidens never done anything to stand out Overall, just under half of U.S. adults (46%) say that the early coverage theyve seen about the Biden administration has offered mostly positive assessments, while far fewer 14% say the news theyve come across has given mostly negative assessments. Biden received a solid majority of votes among urban residents (66% overall), but Trump gained among urbanites relative to his performance in 2016 (33% in 2020, 24% in 2016). Stories with a negative assessment are defined as those with at least twice as many negative as positive statements related to the Biden administration, while those with a positive tone had at least twice as many positive as negative statements. About Pew Research Center Pew Research Center is a nonpartisan fact tank that informs the public about the issues, attitudes and trends shaping the world. With less than a month until Election Day, Joe Biden maintains his lead over Donald Trump in the presidential race. Trump is seen as the law & order candidate while Democrats are seen as hurting our safety The survey also asked how much Americans had heard about each of seven specific efforts and initiatives of the new administration. (+1) 202-419-4300 | Main In all, about three-quarters (78%) of their stories offered a negative assessment of the administration and its actions, with only 4% offering a positive assessment. Among voters under age 30, Joe Biden enjoyed a margin of 24 points over Donald Trump, and political scientists have found the voting patterns formed in this cohort tend to persist. As some states looked to adapt to challenges in administering elections amid the COVID-19 pandemic, large numbers of voters were offered expanded access to absentee and vote-by-mail options in the 2020 election. Trumps tweets sometimes hurt his cause and image. During his tenure, Mr. Trump has: Passed the Tax Cuts and Jobs Act, which in part lowered the corporate tax rate from 35% to 21%. Under Donald Trump, Americans were confronted with a near-constant onslaught of racist, anti-immigrant rhetoric and policy, especially regarding the US-Mexico border, as the same man who led chants about building a wall there won the 2016 presidential election and took control of the Oval Office for the next four years. In 2020, Trump won 65% of White non-college voters nearly identical to his 2016 share even as Biden outperformed Clinton among this group (33% of White non-college voters backed Biden, up from the 28% of this group Clinton won in 2016). Protestants made up a majority of those voting Republican in 2020, just as they did in 2016. That pattern emerged in a number of different aspects of coverage of the Biden administrations first 60 days from the topics of stories to the sources cited in those stories. Nonvoters in 2020 were more closely divided on partisanship than they were in 2016. Thus far, that theory hasnt really panned out the US has continued to experience record-breaking numbers of migrants and asylum seekers at its south-west boundary, despite decades of presidents pursuing this paradigm of prevention through deterrence. Now he's implementing system-level changes to make progressive policies permanent. Wizbang is a registered service mark. Four of the same subjects were among the top five most covered topics in the first months of both the Trump administration in 2017 and the Biden administration in 2021: health care, presidential appointees, immigration and political skills. There may also have been sources used outside the types listed above that were not captured in this study. Nonvoters citizens for whom no record of turnout could be located or who told us they did not vote preferred Joe Biden over Donald Trump by 15 percentage points, 50% to 35%, compared with Bidens 4-point overall advantage among voters. This aligns with the content analysis, which found that the economy and health care were the two leading topics for the period studied (see Chapter 1). Stories from outlets with right-leaning audiences were modestly less likely to be framed around ideology and agenda (59%), but that still constituted a majority of stories. By comparison, just 2% of voters chose a third-party candidate in 2020. These shares were reversed among absentee and mail-in voters: 65% of absentee voters said they voted for Biden, compared with 33% who voted for Trump. DJ Drummond is the real name of an occasionally real person. Roughly half of U.S. adults (52%) said they had heard a lot about Bidens use of executive orders to reverse many Trump administration policies. The United States asylum system a key commitment to its humanitarian values was ridiculous and insane. News coverage of Bidens early days in office varied across outlet groups, with more focus on policy agenda than leadership, character, Part 1: Study of coverage by 25 news outlets during the first 60 days of Biden administration, Part 2: Survey of U.S. adults views of news coverage of the Biden administration, Terminology for elements of news coverage studied, 1. In outlets with a more mixed audience, the coverage of the Biden administration was also mixed: 25% of the stories had a positive assessment, 24% had a negative one and 51% were neither positive nor negative. Despite notable changes in the demographics of the two candidates coalitions, the demographic composition of the electorate as a whole in 2020 did not differ much from that of 2016. (+1) 202-419-4372 | Media Inquiries. The COVID-19 pandemic has been such a pervasive part of recent news that its presence in coverage was measured separately. A yawning age gap in voter support a pattern that emerged in the 2004 presidential election for the first time since 1972 continues to be evident, with voters under 30 favoring Joe Biden by 24 percentage points (Biden 59%, Trump 35%). Racial inequality is the topic that the highest percentage of Americans say is getting too much attention (36%), though the sense overall is divided, with 28% saying the issue is getting too little attention and 35% saying the level of coverage given to racial inequality is about right.3. But when the number of people crossing into the US from Mexico without authorization swiftly increased, his more tempered tactics became a political liability, giving Republicans fuel to spin false yet convincing to some narratives about an open and mismanaged border. While a traditional SWOT analysis follows the S-W-O-T pattern, I will start by building the case against him, then follow with the good news, so my analysis will actually follow a W-T-S-O pattern, which is less elegant as an acronym, but which I think presents the situation in a proper light. For example, while the topic of the economy was covered most heavily by outlets with a left-leaning audience, a large majority of Americans, regardless of their media diet, report hearing a lot about the passage of the economic stimulus bill in the news. Voters who were unaffiliated with any religious tradition (atheists, agnostics and those who describe themselves as nothing in particular) made up 35% of Biden voters but just 14% of Trump voters in 2020. By 2020, Trumps vote share rose to 64% among this group compared with 35% supporting Biden. So how is it, with these comments, that Biden is leading in the polls, and Trump seems almost desperate? Biden had already reversed Trump's deregulatory efforts. among advocates who already fought similar bans under Trump. Three-quarters of those who get their news only from outlets with right-leaning audiences say the subject of racial equality gets too much attention, far more than among those with a mixed-audience media diet (41%) and a left-only diet (13%). One noteworthy feature of the 2020 election was the wide education gap among Hispanic voters. Without such broad support for Trump among White evangelicals, Biden would have beaten him by more than 20 points. And rural voters remain a significantly larger portion of the Republican electorate. Similarly, as Biden increased his level of support among White men in the 2020 election relative to Clintons in 2016, Trump gained among White women, which had the effect of further narrowing the gender gap among White voters. We compare and contrast. While Biden took a 59% majority of the Hispanic vote, Trump (with 38%) gained significantly over the level of support Republican candidates for the House received in 2018 (25%). These qualities are notably absent from Bidens arsenal. In contrast, rural voters were more likely to report voting in person on Election Day. It also draws on surveys conducted among 10,640 panelists from Nov. 7-16, 2018, after the midterm election that year and 4,183 panelists from Nov. 29 to Dec. 12, 2016, after the general election. We surveyed 11,818 U.S. adults online in November 2020, 10,640 adults in November 2018 and 4,183 adults in November and December 2016. In addition, our polling averages do not include head-to-head polls (e.g., between Trump and DeSantis). At the same time, White voters with a college degree or higher supported Biden by roughly the same margin they had backed Clinton in 2016. Voters dont like Biden blaming Trump for the coronavirus, seeing it as playing politics falsely Economy - "The economy has comeroaring back to life underPresident Trump. Both Trump and Biden were able to bring new voters into the political process in 2020. The claim: Joe Biden added more jobs in a single month than Donald Trump netted during his entire term. This analysis joins a growing body of research seeking to achieve a more accurate assessment of the 2020 election, each based on somewhat different sources of data.2 Different methods and data sources have unique strengths and weaknesses, meaning that specific estimates are likely to vary among the studies and no single resource can be considered definitive. Generation Xers, those ages 40 to 55 in 2020, divided relatively evenly (51% to 48%), as did Baby Boomers. We use cookies to ensure that we give you the best experience on our website. Here are some of the other key findings from the analysis: This analysis is based on a survey of 11,818 members of Pew Research Centers American Trends Panel conducted Nov. 12-17, 2020, shortly after the general election. Fully 78% of the stories from outlets with predominantly right-leaning audiences carried a negative assessment. Immigrants of color made headlines for supposedly coming here from shithole countries, and Mexican immigrants were called drug dealers, criminals and rapists. All original content copyright 2003-2014 by Wizbang, LLC. This report includes two main elements: A content analysis of news coverage of the first 60 days of the Biden administration by 25 major news outlets, which can be compared with early coverage of the Trump administration and previous administrations dating back to 1993; and a survey of 12,045 U.S. adults conducted March 8-14, 2021, as part of . President Trump repeated his claim that Joe Biden wants to ban fracking - the controversial process of drilling below ground and using high-pressure water to force out gas. The gender gap in the 2020 election was narrower than it had been in 2016 as Democrats made gains among men and Republicans made gains among women. Vaccine distribution was the one storyline the groups with media diets on the left or tending left had heard considerably more about than the right-only or tend-right groups. President Joe Biden (L) waves alongside his son Hunter Biden after attending mass at Holy Spirit Catholic Church in Johns Island, S.C., on Aug. 13, 2022. News coverage of Bidens early days in office varied across outlet groups, with more focus on policy agenda than leadership, character, 2. This . Honduras to switch ties from Taiwan to China, says president, Honduran environmental defenders shot dead in broad daylight, Honduras declares war against gangs and for control of popular narrative, Best of 2022: The amazing true(ish) story of the Honduran Maradona podcast, Central America sees economic boon as migrants flow through on way to US, Were losing hope: Honduras anger as first female president fails to fulfil womens rights pledge, Theamazing true(ish) story of the Honduran Maradona, Sell your organs to raise the ransom: the Hondurans risking kidnap and death to reach the US. If you continue to use this site we will assume that you consent to this usage. Within the Protestant tradition, White evangelicals accounted for 19% of all voters, but a much higher share of Trumps voters (34%). Trump's indictment in Manhattan for paying hush money to a porn star yanked the spotlight off of DeSantis. Today, 52% of registered voters say that if the election were held today, they would cast their vote for Biden; a smaller share of registered voters say they would cast their ballot for Trump . US turns back growing number of undocumented people after arduous sea journeys, Love across the border: a couples 13-year quest to be reunited in the US, Original reporting and incisive analysis, direct from the Guardian every morning. It conducts public opinion polling, demographic research, media content analysis and other empirical social science research. The survey also asked Americans which of these five issues is getting the most attention from their main news sources (rather than the news media overall). That's because the 2024 Republican primary will not be a two-person race. The historical comparison is conducted across a smaller universe of outlets that existed during all five study periods, representing a mix of print publications and network evening news. Numbers, Facts and Trends Shaping Your World, Grouping news outlets by their audience ideology, At 100 Day Mark: Coverage of Biden Has Been Slightly More Negative Than Positive, Varied Greatly by Outlet Type, coverage of former President Donald Trump, stopped federal funding for the border wall, coded as being about one of 47 specific topics, Next: 1. Donald Trump is already signaling that he will run for president in 2024. White women, a group sometimes categorized as swing voters and who broke nearly evenly in 2016 (47% for Trump to 45% for Clinton), favored him in 2020 (53% to 46%). The same share of stories about each president were neither positive nor negative (45% for both Biden and Trump). During these first 60 days, stories were slightly more likely to carry an overall negative assessment of the administration (32%) than a positive one (23%), though just under half were neither positive nor negative (45%).1. Simple. A majority of nonvoters in 2016 (55%) were Democrats or Democratic leaners, compared with about four-in-ten (41%) who were Republicans or leaned toward the Republican Party. Voters like that Trump is not a politician A Biden-Trump rematch risks worsening our country's already deep divisions. Overall, there were shifts in presidential candidate support among some key groups between 2016 and 2020, notably suburban voters and independents. Within a news story, the statements from the sources cited as well as the reporters own language determine the overall assessment of the Biden administration. The political split between Americas rural areas and its suburban and urban locales remained substantial in 2020. Far more Trump voters (roughly 70% in each presidential election) did not have a four-year college degree. Overall, 65% of the stories were framed around the new presidents policy agenda and ideology, compared with 35% around character and leadership. Researchers coded stories from the 25 news outlets with content pulled from more than 45 specific programs or websites for a number of measures: Topic:News stories were first coded as being about one of 47 specific topicsor storylines (the most prominent topic within each story was coded as the storys overall topic). The corporate tax cut is projected to lower tax revenues by $2 . Passage of the economic stimulus bill and the distribution of the COVID-19 vaccine topped the list, with nearly eight-in-ten U.S. adults (77%) saying they had heard a lot about the stimulus package and 74% hearing a lot about vaccine distribution. From January to August 2021 Biden's approval rating averaged 10-13 points higher than President Trump's during the same time period in his presidency. Pew Research Center does not take policy positions. This report includes two main elements: A content analysis of news coverage of the first 60 days of the Biden administration by 25 major news outlets, which can be compared with early coverage of the Trump administration and previous administrations dating back to 1993; and a survey of 12,045 U.S. adults conducted March 8-14, 2021, as part of the American Trends Panel. Roughly two-thirds of Trump voters (68%) said they voted in person, either on (38%) or before (30%) Election Day. While the media landscape has changed dramatically since Clintons presidential inauguration, the Center has been able to conduct a long-term comparison for each of the recent administrations across a smaller subset of outlets and variables.2. This way nearly all U.S. adults have a chance of selection. Another significant difference in their coverage is that while the negative Biden stories modestly outnumbered the positive ones, negative stories about Trump exceeded positive ones by four-to-one. 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